|President Trump at a campaign-style rally in Florida|
It is time for the weekly edition of Blogger Candidate Forum. We are just a little over a month into the presidency of Donald Trump and it has been a chaotic month, to say the utmost least. Witness the raucous town hall meetings conducted by Republican members of The House of Representatives and The Senate. The meetings have gotten rowdy to the point where some members have either cancelled the event or asked for additional security. These cacophonous meetings are just for the camera, rather they are a manifestation of suburban anxiety over President Trump.
|President Trump at his inauguration|
|POTUS job approval ratings|
Almost half-49 percent- of suburban respondents are happy with the way POTUS is doing his job, thus far, while the remaining 49 percent disapprove. This is not to say that the suburbs are neutral on the subjects ("beyond the 2 percent who somehow still have no opinion). Like their rural and urban counterparts, suburban dwellers have strong feelings for and against POTUS, with very little gray area. What accounts for this difference is that suburbs are not ideological silos.
|Trump transition CNN/ORC poll|
|First approval ratings for POTUS: travel ban|
|What the Trump border wall might look like|
|Rasmussen poll: Is the United States on the right track?|
Kriston Capps observes, "The most interesting result from the poll may be that nobody thinks the country is heading in the right direction except the suburbs." The numbers break down as follow: "...42 percent of urban respondents think things are going very well or fairly well." This makes political sense because the majority of urban voters are Democrats and the Blue Team got their collective heads handed to them in the last election. You would think that rural dwellers would have a more optimistic outlook on the direction of the country, right? No, "...only 43 percent of them do. In suburbs, though, 51 percent of respondents think are fine."
Despite the red river that was the 2016 federal election map, geography may spell doom for the Republican party in the future (i.e. the mid-term elections in 2018). President Trump has much work to do in order to convince suburbia that life is terrible-high unemployment, the liberal media is covering up terrorist attack-in order to gain support for his divisive policies. How is he doing so far? President Trump will have to convince American suburbanites that life is terrible not because of Republican party policies. President Trump clearly enjoys agitating his base, he also needs to to keep them happy. Given the noisy and angry town hall meetings held by Republican members of Congress, POTUS and the red team are not doing too good a job at keeping the base happy. Could the Republican party loyalists lose faith in POTUS and Republican incumbents? The mid-terms are in November 2018 and the Republicans and The President need to work fast, very fast.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton learned the hard way that geography is destiny. While President Donald Trump may be the apple of the conservative voters's eye, the party he leads still has much work to do to win over their conservative constituents. If suburbia continues to hold a negative outlook on President Trump, it may bode ill for down-ballot Republican races at mid-terms and beyond